titolar  
     
     
  WHAT HAPPENS WITH CLIMATE CHANGE?
 
  PROJECT DESCRIPTION
- What can we do?
- Who we are?
- Work Program
 
Identification of
abrupt climate changes
Continental climate records
Marine climate records
Physical-chemical composition of the aerosols and their radiative effects
Qualitative and quantitative modelling
 
Environmental consequences of climate change
Changes of ocean processes and properties
Climatic control of coastal zone evolution in the Iberian Peninsula
Climatic control of the distribution of nutrients
The toxification of the biosphere
Climatic control of the redistribution of marine and continental organisms
Plant pests and diseases
Forest fires
 
Mitigation
The Carbon Cycle
Ecosystem and landscape restoration
 
  SCIENTIFIC RESULTS
 
  THE PROJECT
PARTNERS
 
  FOR PROJECT PARTICIPANTS
 
  ADMINISTRATIVE
MATTERS
   

 

  ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Plant pests and diseases
 
 

Changes in precipitation regimes and thermal patterns are important determinants driving possible alterations in plague and disease behaviour in forests and agrosystems. Extreme thermal events can reduce forest ecosystem production by as much as 30% in continental Europe (Ciais et al. 2005) and mild winters interrupted by periods of intense cold can alter ecosystem function, weakening the system and facilitating the spread of plagues within the affected populations. Nevertheless, gradual temperature changes may be accompanied by subtle but progressive changes in the plague and disease distribution area, which in turn may be facilitated by the increased mobility of people and goods at global scale (Anderson et al., 2004). The degree in which the decline of certain forest masses can be attributed to extreme climate events and the consequences of these events on the possible changes in plague and disease behaviour will be determined in the zones in which the phenomena have been observed to be important in recent years such as in the central and eastern Iberian Peninsula. Impacts attributable to extreme thermal events (cold/heat) in various forest ecosystems within relatively large geographical areas (thousands of hectares) and at different points in the drought cycle will be studied. The changes in plague behaviour for pines and Juniper will also be considered in the light of some of these extreme events.

Anderson Pamela K., Andrew A. Cunningham, Nikkita G. Patel, Francisco J. Morales, Paul R. Epstein5 and Peter Daszak (2004) Emerging infectious diseases of plants: pathogen pollution, climate change and agrotechnology drivers. TRENDS in Ecology and Evolution 19(10): 535-544.

Ciais, P, Reichstein, M., Viovy, N., Granier, A., Ogée, J., Allard, V., Aubinet, M., Buchmann, N., Bernhofer, C, Carrara, A., Chevallier, F., Noblet, N., Friend, A.D., Friedlingstein, P., Grünwald, T., Heinesch, B., Keronen, P., Knohl, A., Krinner, G., Loustau, D., Manca, G., Matteucci, G., Miglietta, F., Ourcival, J.M., Papale, D., Pilegaard, K., Rambal, S., Seufert, G., Soussana, J. F., Sanz, M.J., Schulze, E.D., Vesala, T. and Valentini, R. (2005). Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003. Nature, 437 529-533.